Graphic of opinion poll predicting Samajwadi Party’s win with huge margin in UP is edited

Written by Md Mahfooz Alam

The first phase of the seven-phase upcoming Uttar Pradesh assembly election is due to vote on Thursday, 10 February. Ahead of the poll, a graphic of an opinion poll predicting the huge victory of the Samajwadi Party is doing the rounds on social media.

The viral opinion poll predicts 350-390 seats for the Samajwadi Party, 1-2 seats for the BJP, 4-6 seats for the BSP, 3-5 seats for the Congress Party and it gives  1-3 seats to others.

Facto News investigated the graphic and found it to be a digitally manipulated opinion poll of India TV-ground zero research.

Rishikesh Yadav, supposedly an SP supporter, posted the graphic of the opinion poll on Twitter.

(Source: Twitter/Screenshot)

The graphic is viral on Facebook also. An archive of the posts by other users can be accessed here, here and here.

FactO Check: 

On conducting a reverse image of the viral graphic, we could not find any relevant news report related to it. There is no attribution to the source of the opinion poll also,  however, on further searching using relevant keywords on Twitter, we came across an opinion poll of India TV which carries the same graphic template but the numbers are different.

India TV posted this opinion poll on Twitter on Monday, 31 December and the source attributed to the opinion poll is  India TV-Ground Zero Research.  The real opinion poll predicts 242-244 seats for BJP, 148-150 seats for Samajwadi Party, 5-6 seats for BSP, 3-5 seats for Congress Party and 1-3 seats for others.

A comparison of the original and digitally manipulated graphic for the further clarification of our readers.

There are four similarities we have found in both the graphics.

  1. We noticed the saffron robe of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath on the map of UP in which Akhilesh Yadav has been morphed on the altered graphic. The saffron robe is highlighted in a black colour circle.
  2. The font and colour of the Hindi text अपिन्यन पोल are the same in both the graphics.
  3. The font and colour of the Hindi text यूपी में सीटों का बंटवारा are the same in both the graphics.
  4. The numbers given to BSP, Congress and others are same in the both the graphics.


With the above findings, it is clear that the viral graphic predicting the overwhelming majority in favour of the Samajwadi Party is digitally manipulated.

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About the author

Md Mahfooz Alam

Mahfooz is a multimedia journalist and regularly writes fact-check stories for Facto News. He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Journalism and Mass Communication. He has worked as an intern fact-checker for The Quint. He specializes in research and fact-checking and aspires to do investigative reporting.

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