Paraná Pesquisas: Sérgio Moro leads in all scenarios for the government of Paraná
Senator Sérgio Moro (União Brasil-PR) appears ahead in all scenarios evaluated for the position of governor of Paraná in the 2026 elections. Data from the Instituto Paraná Pesquisas, released this Thursday, 13th, show that Moro maintains a wide advantage over the other possible candidates in all simulated scenarios.
In the first scenario, the senator has 47.5% of voting intentions, followed by Requião Filho (PDT-PR), with 28.8%, and Guto Silva (PSD-PR), with 1.8%. Among those interviewed, 7.2% did not know or did not have an opinion, while 8.8% declared a blank, invalid vote or for no candidate.
Quaest: Rejection of Lula remains above 50% and is only surpassed by Ciro and Bolsonaros
The Genial/Quaest survey carried out 2,004 face-to-face interviews between November 6th and 9th
Lula leads, but advantage falls in all scenarios for 2026, shows Quaest
Genial/Quaest survey indicates a drop in the difference for Bolsonaro, Ciro, Tarcísio and Ratinho
In a second scenario, Moro remains in the lead, with 44.2% of voting intentions. Next come Requião Filho, with 27.5%, and Alexandre Curi (PSD-PR), with 13.8%. In this case, 6.1% of voters did not know or did not want to give their opinion, and 8.4% said they would vote blank, null or for no candidate.
According to the survey, in possible second round disputes, senator Sérgio Moro would beat all opponents with more than 50% of voting intentions.
The survey also assessed the popularity of current governor Ratinho Junior (PSD). According to the survey, 84.3% of those interviewed approved of his management, while 12.5% disapproved of it. Another 3.2% did not know or did not give an opinion.
Furthermore, 38.5% of Paraná voters stated that the current governor should support Sérgio Moro in the next elections.
The survey interviewed 1,508 voters in 65 municipalities in Paraná, between November 7th and 11th, 2025. The sample has a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of approximately 2.6 percentage points, according to the institute.
