Brazilians reject change in the clean record and divide on amnesty, says Atlas

Atlasintel survey released on Sunday, 16, shows that the population significantly rejects changes in the Clean Record Law and divides on the amnesty to those involved in the scammers of January 8, 2023. The two themes are central to the former agenda’s agenda President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) at the National Congress.

According to the survey, 83% of respondents are against reducing the ineligibility period for politicians under the Clean Record Law, while only 14% support the measure. The amnesty those involved in the coup attacks at the headquarters of the three powers in Brasilia divides opinions: 51% are in favor and 49% against, technical draw in the margin of error.

The survey, conducted for the GPS CNN program, featured responses from 817 people at random recruited on the Internet between February 11 and 13. The margin of error is three percentage points for more or less, and the confidence level is 95%.

Bolsonarists and the Clean Record

The biggest supporters of amnesty for scammers are voters who voted for Bolsonaro in the second round of 2022 (99%) and those who declare themselves evangelicals (93%). On the other hand, the greatest opposition to the project comes from those who voted for Lula, with 96% contrary to the measure.

Bolsonaro voters show greater tolerance to the cleanser of the clean record. Among those who voted for him in the second round of the last presidential election, 58% are against change, but 34% support the change in law. Among Lula’s voters, the position is absolute: 100% reject the proposal.

Inelegable by 2030 by two TSE convictions, Bolsonaro now defends the end of the Clean Record Law as a way to return to the presidential dispute in 2026. In a video released on social networks, the former president said he wants to “end” the law of Clean record.

The numbers of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), however, contradict this thesis, as showed by Estadão. In the last municipal election, for example, PT and PL had almost the same number of candidates barred, although Bolsonaro’s party released more names than Lula’s.

To rehabilitate the former president, the House of Representatives’ scholarship bench began to articulate the approval of a bill of Deputy Bibo Nunes (PL-RS) that reduces from eight to two years the period of ineligibility for convicted politicians. The change would pave the way for Bolsonaro to compete again, but, according to experts, would depend on the endorsement of the TSE and the Supreme Court (STF).

Perception of other proposals in processing

The survey also brings the opinion of Brazilians about other proposals in process in the House and the Federal Senate. The increase in the number of federal deputies faces almost unanimous rejection, with 97% of the opposite interviewees.

The maintenance of Congress control over imposing parliamentary amendments divides opinions: 50% are against, 32% in favor and 19% could not answer. Cutting public spending is the most widening measure, with 54% support and 28% rejection.