Lula government relationship with Congress is very bad, says Noronha, from Arko Advice

Arko vice president Advice, Cristiano Noronha, evaluates that there is a very bad climate between the executive and the legislature. On Wednesday, the government suffered a defeat when parliamentarians overturned the increase in IOF announced weeks ago. “Since, practically, when Lula took over, in the early months, everyone said: Lula is distracted from politics, Lula is no longer the one who likes to do politics, who likes to get involved.”

According to Noronha, it is also possible to say that it has an anticipation of the electoral scenario, the electoral dispute. “From now on, 2026 will anticipate more and more.”

Noronha states that the Lula government plays a lot with a supposed bad image of Congress. And exactly that annoyed the mayor, Hugo Motta (Republicans-PB). “In these last days, the interview that Minister Fernando Haddad gave criticizing the increase in the number of deputies greatly irritated the parliamentarians,” he said. He considers it was the drop of water.

Read also: IOF drop balance: Alcolumbre and Motta stronger and hangover climate in the government

Noronha estimates that government leaders in Congress make a negotiation that does not seem to talk to the executive. “These are agreements that are made there and are not fulfilled.” This, according to the analyst, causes a series of criticism and an embarrassing situation for Congress.

“It is a sequence of errors that the government makes in the political articulation, in this relationship with the base,” he says. “So this is all wearing this relationship a lot with Congress.”

This week, Hugo Mota was not even in Brasilia. But he decided to come to Brasilia, announced a almost midnight agenda and personally led the vote. There was still an articulation there for the Senate to vote on the issue of IOF.

An example of the bad relationship between the powers, in Noronha’s view, was the issue of excerpt vetoes of the project that disciplines the use of offshore energy potential. With the overthrow, the cost of electricity can increase to the end consumer. “The government blamed (for the vetoes) in the National Congress, and there was an agreement with the government to overthrow these vetoes,” he explains.

According to Noronha, there is another issue very sensitive to parliamentarians, which is the issue of amendments. “Parliamentarians saw a kind of articulation between the executive and the judiciary to embarrass the National Congress,” he says. For the analyst, the minister who should take care of the articulation, Gleisi Hoffmann, acts to “threaten” congressmen in the issue of amendments.

He believes that if the government decides to judicialize this overthrow of the IOF in the Federal Supreme Court, it will further intend the relationship with Congress. Noronha does not rule out that Congress can send even more scopes of dissatisfaction to the government. “There is still provisional measure 1303/25 also increasing the collection, taxation of titles, fintechs, bets and everything else,” he bets.