Lula recovers ground on the electorate’s humor thermometer

Since then, food inflation has reduced the pace, the government had a victory in public debate on Rich taxation, Donald Trump’s attack on the economy and Brazilian institutions to help Jair Bolsonaro got very badly and the former president’s condemnation by coup d’état reduced his political capital.

Analysis by socioeconomic segments reveals that improvement in trust is driven mainly by historically more vulnerable groups. From May to here, there was an inversion in the evaluation of Brazilians with family income of up to two minimum wages: before 52% said that the government did not worry about them and 45% pointed to the opposite; Now 52% say he cares and 45% believe in the opposite.

The same pattern repeats itself when the clipping is education. Among those who have at most elementary school, the positive government assessment reached 51%, while the negative was 45%. In May, 52% claimed that the government did not worry about them and 45% indicated the opposite.

But there was improvement in government assessment in virtually all groups. For example, between those who earn between two and five minimum wages, a group that will benefit from the income tax exemption to those who receive up to R $ 5,000 monthly, Lula’s campaign promise, the negative balance went from 28 points to 11.

Even among evangelicals, a historically refractory group to the current government, the negative balance went from surprising 40 points (69%, no, 29%, yes) to 26 points.

Research also allows a look at the regional dimension of this feeling. The Northeast, a traditional Lulist Bastião, has the highest confidence rate in the government: 57% of northeastern believe that Lula cares about people like them. On the other hand, in the southern regions, distrust prevails, with 6th% of negative evaluations. But the government has improved perception in the populous Southeast, from a negative balance from 35 points to 18.