PEC from the shielding and urgency for amnesty: Centrão leaves strengthened, evaluate analysts

Political analysts heard by Infomoney They evaluate that the winner of this busy week in Brasilia was… The Centrão. The last days have been marked by the approval of the PEC text text of the Chamber of Deputies PEC and the determination of urgency for the Amnesty Project, which benefits people involved in the coup acts of 8 January 2023.

“For a change, who won was the political estate and, for a change, who lost was the population,” said political scientist and sociologist Antonio Lavareda, commenting on Congress votes this week.

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According to Lavareda, the biggest gain was from the political group called in the Centrão Congress. “The center became more strengthened because it got a strategic alliance with the pockets and lent total strength to its main agenda, the agenda of prerogatives,” he says. This agenda has been called the Armage PEC because it hinders the opening of parliamentary investigation processes.

About the vote of the Senate Shield PEC and the House Amnesty Project, which should happen this next week, Lavareda prefers not to make predictions.

“This turbulent phase is marked by unpredictability. So, I find anything in one direction or another, I would be hoping for one thing or another. I can’t watch politics with fan posture.”

The political consultant and CEO of Consillium, Antonio Augusto de Queiroz, bets that the armor PEC will not be approved in the Senate. “The rapporteur himself said he has little chance of passing the house,” he says. He mentions that even some Bolsonarist senators point to immorality in the project. “All Senate Lavajatist Senators are against.”

According to Lavareda, “even the pockets are involved in the networks in the defense of amnesty, but are not putting the face much about the shielding PEC.”

Transparency versus shielding

For Queiroz, Bolsonarist parliamentarians are contradicting the shielding PEC. “Before they defended transparency, they were an antisystem. Now, what could be more defense of the system than the shielding of politicians?” He says. “At least the House pockets make it very clear that their only goal is to rid Bolsonaro.”

The analyst believes that the voting in Congress in favor of the armor and amnesty will bring electoral consequences to parliamentarians who try to reelection. “The voter will say: This senator, this deputy voted in favor of the armor, is against transparency. This will, in the election, reverberate.”