Tarcísio and Michelle are favorite to replace Bolsonaro in 2026
The names of Tarcisio de Freitas (Republicans), governor of São Paulo, and former PL, former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), are preferred to replace ineligible Jair Bolsonaro (PL) as a candidate for the Planalto Palace in 2026. Especially among the former president’s voters.
According to the genius/Quaest poll released on Thursday, 3, when considered the general electorate, there are 15% those who cite Tarcisio as who should be the right candidate. Meanwhile, 14% point Michelle’s name. As the survey margin of error is two percentage points for more or less, the two are technically tied, along with Pablo Marçal (PRTB), quoted by 11% of Brazilians.
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Quoted as one of the options for the former president’s nearest core, son Eduardo Bolsonaro is quoted by 4% of the general electorate, behind, for example, from Ratinho Júnior, chosen by 9% and tied with the governors of Minas, Romeu Zema (Novo), and Goiás, Ronaldo Caiado (Union).
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When there is a clipping only among voters who in 2022 voted for Jair Bolsonaro, and would therefore be more likely to choose a name from this field, Michelle is quoted by 26% of voters, while Tarcisio is pointed by 24% as the best option. In this case, Pablo Marçal is right behind, cited by 12% of the former president’s voters. In this case, Eduardo Bolsonaro is fourth, chosen by 8% of those who voted for his father in 2022.
Among those who voted for Lula, Tarcisio is cited as the best name on the right by 10%, same rate of the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Júnior (PSD), and a point more than Pablo Marçal, pointed by 9%.
The genius/Quaest survey listened to 27 to 31 March. The survey error margin is 2 percentage points for more or less and the confidence level is 95%.
