Paraná Polls: Flávio Bolsonaro has 48.1% and Lula has 40.3% in the 2nd round in SP

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads the dispute in a possible second round against President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva among voters in the State of São Paulo. The data is from Paraná Pesquisas, which shows the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro with 48.1%, against 40.3% for the PT member.

The survey was carried out between April 10th and 14th and showed that 7.2% of voters would vote blank, invalid or would not declare a preference for any candidate in this scenario. Those who do not know or did not give their opinion are 4.3%.

According to the survey, in relation to February, the two only fluctuated within the margin of error, which is 2.5 percentage points plus or minus. At the time, Flávio recorded 49.1%, while Lula had 38.2%.

Technical draw in the first round

The survey, registered with the TSE under protocol BR08453/2026, points to a technical tie between the two best-positioned candidates in the first round among São Paulo voters, but with a numerical advantage for Flávio Bolsonaro, who registered 39.3%. Lula gets 36%.

Next, tied up in the survey, are Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), with 2.9%; Romeu Zema (Novo), with 2.6%; Renan Santos (Mission), which has 2.1%; and Augusto Cury (Avante), which registered 1.8%.