Genial/Quaest: Moro has 35% of votes in Paraná, and Requião Filho scores 18%
The new round of the Genial/Quaest survey, released this Monday (27), points to the consolidated leadership of Sergio Moro (PL). The senator appears with 35% of voting intentions in the first round, in a scenario with multiple candidates.
Behind him, state deputy Requião Filho (PDT) has 18%, while former mayor of Curitiba Rafael Greca (MDB) has 15%. Sandro Alex (PSD), a name supported by governor Ratinho Junior, appears with 5%. Luiz França (Mission) and Tony Garcia (DC) have 1% each.
The survey also shows a relevant contingent of voters outside the direct dispute. Undecided votes total 18%, and blank or invalid votes reach 7%, which leaves room for changes throughout the campaign.
Genial/Quaest: Paes leads with 34% of the votes in RJ, Douglas Ruas, 9%, and Garotinho, 8%
Mayor totals 34%, while opponents divide votes and indecision reaches 40%
Genial/Quaest: Hana Ghassan and dr. Daniel draws in dispute for the Government of Pará
Governor Hana Ghassan and Daniel Santos appear close, with a high rate of undecided voters
When the list of candidates is reduced, the difference in favor of Moro increases. Without Rafael Greca and Tony Garcia, the senator reaches 42%, while Requião Filho rises to 24%. Sandro Alex appears with 6% and Luiz França with 2%.
This movement indicates a concentration of votes in the main poles of the dispute, with Moro capturing a relevant part of the electorate in less fragmented scenarios.
Second round
The second round simulations reinforce the former judge’s lead. Against Requião Filho, Moro recorded 49% of intentions, compared to 30% for his opponent. In a confrontation with Rafael Greca, the score is 44% to 29%. In front of Sandro Alex, the difference is even greater: 51% versus 15%.
Performance suggests competitive advantage in different polarization scenarios, regardless of the opponent.
The electoral scenario in the state was influenced by recent changes in alliances. In March, Moro left União Brasil, where he faced internal resistance, and joined the PL, consolidating his rapprochement with the Bolsonaro camp and with presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro.
In the same period, Ratinho Junior (PSD) gave up running for President and started to prioritize state succession. After uncertainty, he nominated former secretary Sandro Alex as the government group’s candidate.
Rafael Greca, who was an ally of the governor, migrated to the MDB after noticing a loss of space in the political composition.
The survey surveyed 1,104 voters between April 21 and 25 and has a margin of error of three percentage points. The survey is registered with the Electoral Court under number PR-02588/2026.
