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Tarcísio opens more than 20 points before Haddad and Alckmin in the 2nd round in SP, says research

BySimon Rousseau Posted onFebruary 11, 2026 7:31 amFebruary 11, 2026 7:31 am
Tarcísio opens more than 20 points before Haddad and Alckmin in the 2nd round in SP, says research

Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) beats any candidate in a possible second round and wins re-election by the government of the State of São Paulo. This is what the most recent Paraná Pesquisas survey, released this Wednesday (11), points out.

At this point in the electoral race, Tarcísio would easily win a dispute in the second round against the main opposition names by more than 20 percentage points. Against Fernando Haddad (PT), he would have 58.7% of the valid votes compared to 32.4% for the current Minister of Finance, according to the survey.

Haddad is tipped by Lula to run for governor of the state, considered a key federative unit for this year’s presidential election. In previous statements, the minister had already shown a lack of interest in contesting the election, but stated that the final decision will be up to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Opportunity with security!

Also read

Tarcísio jumps and would beat Haddad in the 1st round for the SP government, says Paraná Pesquisas

Survey released this Wednesday (11) shows progress in Tarcísio’s candidacy, who would also be ahead of Geraldo Alckmin

Against Geraldo Alckmin (PSB), another candidate floated by Lula to face Tarcísio, the current governor has 56% compared to 35.1% for the vice president.

The defeat for federal government candidates also occurs in a possible second round against the current mayor of São Paulo, Ricardo Nunes (MDB). Haddad would lose the dispute by 35.1% against 48.2%.

The most competitive name in this scenario would be Geraldo Alckmin, who would also lose the dispute with 40.9% against 45.3% for Nunes.

Check out all the scenarios::

Tarcísio de Freitas x Geraldo Alckmin

  • Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) — 56.0%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) — 35.1%
  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 3.2%
  • None/ Blank/ Null — 5.6%

Tarcísio de Freitas x Fernando Haddad

  • Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) — 58.7%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT) — 32.4%
  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 3.0%
  • None/ White/ Null — 5.8%

Geraldo Alckmin x Ricardo Nunes

  • Ricardo Nunes (MDB) — 45.3%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) — 40.9%
  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 5.1%
  • None/ Blank/ Null — 8.7%

Geraldo Alckmin x Felicio Ramuth

  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) — 47.7%
  • Felicio Ramuth (PSD) — 20.6%
  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 7.4%
  • None/ White/ Null — 24.4%

Fernando Haddad x Ricardo Nunes

  • Ricardo Nunes (MDB) — 48.2%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT) — 35.1%
  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 5.1%
  • None/ Blank/ Null — 11.5%

Fernando Haddad x Felicio Ramuth

  • Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 7.5%
  • None/ Blank/ Null — 25.3%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT) — 41.1%
  • Felicio Ramuth (PSD) — 26.1%

Simon Rousseau
Simon Rousseau

Hello, I'm Simon, a 39-year-old cinema enthusiast. With a passion for storytelling through film, I explore various genres and cultures within the cinematic universe. Join me on my journey as I share insights, reviews, and the magic of movies!

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