Quaest in SP: Nunes leads with 55%, while Boulos appears with 45%

The last Quaest survey before the 2nd round of elections, released on Saturday night (26), shows that the current mayor Ricardo Nunes (MDB)candidate for re-election, remains the favorite.

According to the survey, Nunes appears with 55% of the valid votes, compared to 45% for the federal deputy Guilherme Boulos (PSOL).

To calculate valid votes, Quaest takes into account voting intentions from the survey, the pattern and profile of electoral turnout in the city of São Paulo.

See the numbers:

Ricardo Nunes (MDB): 55%
Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 45%

Spontaneous

In the spontaneous survey, in which the candidates’ names are not presented to voters, Nunes appears ahead, with 38% of voting intentions, compared to 36% in the previous survey, and Boulos with 29%, the same level as in the last survey.

Voter migration

According to the Quaest survey, Guilherme Boulos lost space among voters who voted for federal deputy Tabata Amaral (PSB) in the first round, falling from 62% to 48%.

Ricardo Nunes, in turn, fell among the supporters of businessman and influencer Pablo Marçal (PRTB), from 79% to 76%.

The search

Quaest interviewed 2,004 voters, in the city of São Paulo, between October 25th and 26th, 2024. The margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The survey was commissioned by TV Globo and registered with the Electoral Court under protocol SP-05608/2024.