Rejection of Lula reaches 47% and Flávio at 44.1%, points out Paraná Pesquisas

The Paraná Pesquisas survey, released this Tuesday (31) indicates that 47% of voters who know President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva say they would not vote for him. In the case of senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the rate is 44.1%.

Despite the numerical difference, the data suggests a scenario of balance in rejection, one of the main growth limiters in national campaigns. The proximity of the percentages indicates that both face relevant barriers to expanding support beyond their consolidated bases.

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Voting potential also appears distributed in a similar way. Among those who know Lula, 30.4% say they would “definitely vote” for the president, while 21.4% say they could support him. Flávio already records 30.1% of consolidated votes and 24.6% of voters open to the possibility.

The combined reading of these indicators indicates that the senator has a slight advantage in the field of persuadable voters, while Lula maintains a more faithful base in terms of defined vote.

The balance between high rejection and limited growth potential reinforces the prospect of a polarized dispute dependent on marginal movements of the electorate.

The survey interviewed 2,080 voters between March 25th and 28th, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under number BR-00873/2026.